Despite my intention to take 100 Days Off, I was unable to resist taking a couple bets while watching some of the play-off matches last weekend. The play-offs have never been that profitable in the past since I always got a bit burned out after a long season and never put enough effort into it. I will be using Steemit as a way reflect and post results from the matches I do end up watching live which should give me highly increased discipline during 10 weeks in which the play-offs are played.
Most bets I take will be live and I will rely on what I see along with the experience I have betting sports. I did not watch all matches and missed Standard vs Charleroi and Kortrijk vs Waasland which will be a handicap to get a good grip on their next matches. I will probably miss more matches as watching everything won't have priority. I realise that this might not be enough to beat the highly competitive betting market, but in the worst case scenario I learn a valuable lesson for the future.
The biggest mistake I made this weekend was betting Anderlecht +0 @ 1.88 pre game at home vs AA Gent. I just could not resist the price even though it was not that much of a surprise to see AA Gent being the better team. I will remember this kind of situation for sure when it ever comes up again and just stay away.
Similar to the regular season I will be making a graph, this time in units (1 unit is medium bet) as it is the way I intend to do it next season. The expected pink ROI line is set a bit lower at +2.75% which I believe should be possible when staying focussed.
Play-offs Week 01 Results 18 Bets | 09W-07L-02P | Staked 12u | +1.201u Profit
Play-Offs 2017-2018 Results
18 Bets|09W-07L-02P|Staked 12u|+1.201u Profit|+10% ROI