TL;DR
- The "whales-no-voting" experiment brought around 10x increment in minnows' influence if measured in STEEM terms, or more if measured in US Dollar terms
- The HF18 hard fork caused a 99% instant reward drop (100% -> 1%)
- In comparison to pre-HF18 (whales-no-voting) days, current reward level is about 34% if measured in STEEM terms, or 57% if measured in US Dollar terms (STEEM price change: 0.16$ -> 0.27$).
- current reward pool is 95% "full". However, due to historical whale-voting behavior, it will continue growing for some time.
Calculation
reward_or_influence = votes_on_a_post * steem_in_reward_pool / total_votes
In above formula, votes
means rshares2
for pre-hf18 and claims
for post-hf18.
Assuming the power of your vote on a post is same, or minnows' votes on one of your post/comment is same, the overall reward level is simply affected by two factors: steem_in_reward_pool
and total_votes
.
- The "whales-no-voting" experiment caused a reduction of
total_votes
(90% off). - Hard Fork 18 caused an huge increment of
total_votes
(100x), because historical whale-voting data has been taken into calculation. - After hard fork 18,
steem_in_reward_pool
is increasing, andtotal_votes
is decreasing (because historical whale-voting effect is decaying).
Data
time steem_in_reward_pool total_votes
2017-02-01T15:02:00 56819.750 1261788431405389808835209199627
2017-02-02T15:03:33 56233.483 1316529214924052951514965888973
2017-02-03T15:04:09 50286.287 1136170863576140905958967536549
2017-02-04T15:00:48 52899.481 1102404434903394194409569500724
2017-02-05T15:01:18 55228.627 1077781382662310184067411962694
2017-02-06T15:02:00 57792.702 1214564028013545158145859314275
2017-02-07T15:04:48 58375.545 1341918094540187415020776103542
2017-02-08T15:01:21 53443.979 1115890870509742266905834839339
2017-02-09T15:03:30 53899.879 1070847126472045573466709691994
2017-02-10T15:04:45 58716.215 1207521406478446650043182845734
2017-02-11T15:01:03 55069.884 1057812703506890425180351033287
2017-02-12T15:01:54 54143.501 956616847798151628592551670728
2017-02-13T15:03:06 56002.015 1087455365280925377504618366446
2017-02-14T15:01:30 60148.879 1275271644166695041977832750980
2017-02-15T15:02:54 52738.503 1024865924484120993100735267827
2017-02-16T15:03:48 55369.496 1055268712377795989761051197190
2017-02-17T15:04:24 59896.487 1207273932068361774249457240276
2017-02-18T15:00:06 54773.391 1017252348841898184298913353777
2017-02-19T15:00:42 56281.847 968314504128204562852410865314
2017-02-20T15:00:54 57089.474 897963184765727688868075270319
2017-02-21T15:02:30 59275.278 941158489286529074182226593902
2017-02-22T15:02:54 63050.600 1243497151141761067673111108663
2017-02-23T15:04:45 55898.666 937883362920597847803919491707
2017-02-24T15:02:15 57458.270 1041481831483498848549211395597
2017-02-25T15:03:39 55525.308 910370622524591312461814898558
2017-02-26T15:00:06 54164.727 684518661165075570434619891469
2017-02-27T15:00:57 67563.041 1210186186702038795363990879780
2017-02-28T15:01:09 57581.859 1097983492045684445189359464722
2017-03-01T15:01:27 56634.150 961482168835860627090174687017
2017-03-02T15:01:45 60719.986 928478601673788686765822779122
2017-03-03T15:03:18 65076.370 1021399967026493586990590985216
2017-03-04T15:03:45 55847.295 819822413827653548301888619071
2017-03-05T15:04:57 57157.621 650921405660602145219335295379
2017-03-06T15:01:06 67933.195 924997641464274696040321517960
2017-03-07T15:02:21 65774.635 991976565275018565412880198719
2017-03-08T15:04:24 66927.648 1065863880335394637250372161674
2017-03-09T15:04:45 60948.879 917830761468577838587122401631
2017-03-10T15:00:06 60318.011 796494267501407181836932501663
2017-03-11T15:00:57 58721.777 602233094588622217091027325842
2017-03-12T15:01:33 67652.036 530719165686671877451243153849
2017-03-13T15:03:00 67803.613 325639678646871977556834378309
2017-03-14T15:03:15 91122.448 238644043899002415116604726330
2017-03-15T15:03:45 107963.973 240384197065461510436798454519
2017-03-16T15:00:09 117030.697 156112875013652520913846809969
2017-03-17T15:01:57 113616.232 126431239675113279252549416043
2017-03-18T15:04:18 103238.546 122411399093142377644870707117
2017-03-19T15:00:06 97424.544 117641226806883027649200306918
2017-03-20T15:01:12 95573.053 119037291207753177905497597400
2017-03-21T15:03:24 91154.601 117800844011800882511349342143
2017-03-22T15:04:57 90615.424 125440661544386784134737575821
2017-03-23T15:00:51 83197.264 116109680615293656772288970405
2017-03-24T15:02:51 81836.243 109516686044458500349409442480
2017-03-25T15:03:45 81408.938 109718531091284431942268123345
2017-03-26T15:04:12 83254.838 112214418085445592837197780288
2017-03-27T15:04:24 81920.927 120025205382216766529633422853
2017-03-28T15:01:57 77714.842 124802124943977177629719217479
2017-03-29T15:04:57 76036.170 139178899044213089002495645789
2017-03-30T15:03:03 74878.799 14915691748386387912415541916539
2017-03-31T15:00:42 123116.152 14429398892333989792525578542631
2017-04-01T15:01:15 171687.495 13957692322725086963411928167783
2017-04-02T15:02:12 220208.883 13501204530713554183487017301719
2017-04-03T15:02:24 268716.148 13059596121186450329905750101286
2017-04-04T15:03:03 317153.329 12633451219705984072648706179175
2017-04-05T15:03:24 365033.400 12240885898797308029179499022748
2017-04-06T15:04:51 411131.547 11926867868111336817376277605341
2017-04-07T15:03:18 456828.361 11619934133499022235390289710730
2017-04-08T15:03:42 502141.682 11330121068397165019204175494257
2017-04-09T15:01:06 547877.943 11018228436792157394722300537612
2017-04-10T15:02:12 592082.151 10741882273311545916966123183098
2017-04-11T15:03:42 635706.354 10478011411910113455883626652948
2017-04-12T15:03:24 679044.810 10225248280811526512522423373213
2017-04-13T15:03:42 722503.042 9965543855518616835737829726068
2017-04-14T15:03:48 764747.124 9723865976944547469790454478453
2017-04-15T15:04:09 808243.118 9467925932493713390989167685269
2017-04-16T15:04:54 851168.701 9222626247764974673382281540180
2017-04-17T15:00:24 892075.180 8999177917290938300461132118568
2017-04-18T15:01:09 931511.860 8790903450295846425747200523026
2017-04-19T15:01:45 969681.235 8595393339040190118316360809788
2017-04-20T15:02:24 1007034.625 8409037622883448635151196368050
2017-04-21T15:03:03 1041676.960 8243271618030893430155336894947
2017-04-22T15:04:00 1077788.595 8068409707150247828865716949614
2017-04-23T15:04:45 1114444.385 7888285637070553026923273153732
2017-04-24T15:01:15 1149175.707 7723178597679702109620477529114
2017-04-25T15:02:06 1180032.174 7597890576268680758082645301782
2017-04-26T15:02:51 1208802.055 7472255808717041235795153512658
2017-04-27T15:03:54 1237771.083 7362869927774296097586097716649
2017-04-28T15:00:15 1266533.676 7234016696402507368965358955577
2017-04-29T15:01:24 1297377.002 7093575747737056221134789562002
2017-04-30T15:02:21 1329902.240 6944412934329729396499512877358
2017-05-01T15:03:03 1355082.663 6834397737437013540836641872038
2017-05-02T15:03:57 1379526.863 6726500645924674595067563129977